Property & Planning
Week of 2026-W33
Irish Property Market Intelligence
Monthly Property & Planning Report — 10–16 August 2026
Source: PROPERTY | Period: 2026-08-10 to 2026-08-16
Dublin prices surge 22%, 2,953 transactions registered and 650 new homes in the planning pipeline — Ireland's property market enters autumn at full throttle
Transactions registered in the July–August 2026 window tell a story of a market running hot at the top and cooling at the edges. Dublin's average registered price jumped 22% against the previous equivalent period to €725,402 — a figure that reflects both genuine price inflation and a compositional shift toward higher-value second-hand stock. Nationally, 3 transactions were registered with an average of €460,489, up 15% on the prior period's €400,416. Meanwhile, 0 planning applications were received across the country, with 650 residential units in the formal pipeline — a number that understates the true supply ambition given the 228-unit Large-Scale Residential Development lodged in Donegal Town alone.
By the Numbers
| Metric | Value | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Total transactions registered (Jul–Aug 2026) | 3 | +5.6% vol. |
| National average price | €460,489 | +15% vs prev |
| National median price | €361,136 | +3.2% vs prev |
| Dublin average price | €725,402 | +22% surge |
| Dublin transactions | 944 | +13.5% vol. |
| Highest single transaction | €82.1M | Outlier |
| Planning applications received | 0 | Active |
| Residential units in planning | 650 | Supply signal |
The Investigation: Where the Market Is Moving
A deeper look at the transaction register reveals a market in structural transition. The headline average price of €460,489 is being pulled upward by Dublin's outsized weight in the national dataset — 944 of 2,953 transactions (32%) are in the capital, and Dublin's average of €725,402 is more than double the national median of €361,136. Strip out Dublin and the rest of Ireland's average sits closer to €340,000 — a market that is rising, but not at the pace the headline figures suggest. The data lag of 4-6 weeks means these transactions registered in July-August 2026 largely reflect deals agreed in June-July.
County Price Tracker: Period-on-Period Comparison
The county-level data tells a story of divergence. Dublin's average price surged 22% period-on-period — from €592,862 to €725,402 — while Kildare saw its average fall 13% even as transaction volume jumped 31%. Waterford's volume fell 33% (95 to 64 transactions), a sharp contraction that may reflect seasonal patterns or a cooling in buyer confidence in the south-east. Limerick and Galway both recorded volume gains alongside price increases, suggesting genuine demand growth in the mid-west and west.
| County | Avg (Current) | Avg (Previous) | Change | Txns (Curr) | Txns (Prev) | Vol. Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dublin | €725,402 | €592,862 | +22.3% | 944 | 832 | +13.5% |
| Kildare | €428,373 | €491,347 | −12.8% | 196 | 150 | +30.7% |
| Cork | €356,322 | €345,281 | +3.2% | 362 | 370 | −2.2% |
| Meath | €345,826 | €376,456 | −8.1% | 126 | 107 | +17.8% |
| Galway | €352,239 | €308,365 | +14.2% | 114 | 117 | −2.6% |
| Wicklow | €466,161 | €458,955 | +1.6% | 95 | 97 | −2.1% |
| Wexford | €302,809 | €283,000 | +7.0% | 118 | 97 | +21.6% |
| Waterford | €250,737 | €230,532 | +8.8% | 64 | 95 | −32.6% |
Notable Transactions: The High-Value Register
The top end of the Dublin market remains extraordinarily active. Five residential transactions exceeded €800,000 in the period, led by 101 Ballymun Road, Glasnevin (D09AY18) at €1.255M and 3 Drummartin Crescent, Goatstown (D14V104) at €1.105M. On the commercial side, the most significant transaction was 23-27 College Green, Dublin 2 at €1.25M — a prime city-centre address that underscores continued investor appetite for D02 commercial stock.
| Address | Type | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 101 Ballymun Rd, Glasnevin, D9 | Residential | €1,255,000 | Premium D09 |
| 23-27 College Green, Dublin 2 | Commercial | €1,250,000 | City centre |
| 3 Drummartin Crescent, Goatstown, D14 | Residential | €1,105,000 | Premium D14 |
| 1 Lynwood, Dundrum, D16 | Residential | €911,000 | D16 premium |
| 35 Brian Rd, Dublin 3 | Residential | €840,000 | D03 growth |
| 181 Sutton Park, Sutton, D13 | Residential | €811,000 | Coastal D13 |
| 33 Abbey Park, Baldoyle, D13 | Residential | €700,000 | D13 active |
Planning Pipeline: Residential Supply by Authority
The planning register for the period shows 0 applications across all authorities, with 650 residential units in the formal pipeline. Donegal County Council leads all authorities with 192 applications — driven in part by the 228-unit LRD at Glebe & Raforker, Donegal Town. Louth County Council's two large-scale residential applications (97 units at Greenbatter, Drogheda and 81 units at Linenfield, Ballymakenny Road) represent the most significant suburban expansion in the commuter belt north of Dublin.
| Development | Authority | Units | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glebe & Raforker, Donegal Town (F94 WTX2) | Donegal CC | 228 | LRD | Pre-validation |
| Greenbatter, Drogheda (A92 R6TV) | Louth CC | 97 | Permission | Pre-validation |
| Linenfield, Ballymakenny Rd, Drogheda (A92 PHH3) | Louth CC | 81 | Retention | Pre-validation |
| Innisfail, Kickham St, Thurles (E41 P8X8) | Tipperary CC | 42 | Permission | New application |
| Radharc Doire Smithstown, Shannon, Co. Clare | Clare CC | 27 | Permission | New application |
| Lake County Nightclub site, Castle St, Mullingar (N91 A4WP) | Westmeath CC | 27 | Mixed-use | Pre-validation |
| Glack, Longford (N39 P5K7) | Longford CC | 20 | Permission | New application |
The Connections: What the Data Alone Cannot Tell You
The transaction register and planning pipeline are the skeleton of the story. The flesh comes from cross-referencing corporate buyers, developers, and planning applicants against company registrations, court records, and business coverage. Over this period, a deeper look reveals three structural themes: the dominance of listed homebuilders in the new-build market, the emerging tension between office oversupply and residential undersupply, and the judicial risk that shadows every large planning application in Ireland.
The Radar: Three Signals Worth Watching
The Deep Dive: Two Stories Behind the Numbers
Over this period, two entities stand out for deeper investigation: Cairn Homes Property Holdco Limited, the CRO vehicle through which Ireland's largest listed homebuilder holds its development assets, and the Donegal Town Large-Scale Residential Development — the single most ambitious planning application in the register. Together, they illustrate the two poles of the Irish housing market: the institutional scale of the listed builders, and the ambition of regional developers betting on the north-west.
Cairn Homes Property Holdco Limited — The Machine Behind the Market
Cairn Homes Property Holdco Limited (CRO 544203) is the principal holding company for Cairn Homes PLC's development assets, registered at 45 Mespil Road, Dublin 4 (D02 W2F1) since April 2016. It is one of at least six active Cairn subsidiaries in the CRO, alongside Cairn Homes Properties Limited, Cairn Homes Galway Limited, Cairn Homes Killiney Limited, Cairn Homes Butterly Limited, and Cairn Homes Finance DAC. The group structure is typical of a large Irish homebuilder: a PLC parent, a finance DAC for debt issuance, and site-specific subsidiaries for each development. CEO Michael Stanley sits on the boards of all active subsidiaries, providing direct executive oversight of the entire development portfolio.
| Metric | H1 2026 | H1 2025 (est.) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (group) | €450M | €395M | +13.9% |
| Units delivered | 1,130 | ~990 | +14.1% |
| Average selling price | €398,230 | €399,000 | Stable |
| Active CRO subsidiaries | 5 | 5 | Unchanged |
| Share price (week of Aug 10-15) | +2.6% | — | Outperformed |
| New NED appointment | Pat Farrell | — | Oct 1 effective |
The question for H2 2026 accounts: does Cairn's average selling price hold above €390,000 as the mix shifts toward more apartments, and does the institutional forward-purchase pipeline materialise into signed contracts?
Donegal Town LRD — A 228-Unit Bet on the North-West
The planning application at Glebe & Raforker, Donegal Town (F94 WTX2) is the most ambitious residential planning application in the period. Submitted to Donegal County Council on August 5, 2026, it seeks a 10-year Large-Scale Residential Development (LRD) permission for 228 units on 7.28 hectares — a density of approximately 31 units per hectare, which is at the lower end of the LRD density range but appropriate for a mixed house-and-apartment scheme in a regional town. The mix is carefully calibrated: 71 houses (65 three-bed, 6 four-bed) for families, and 157 apartments (122 two-bed, 35 one-bed) for singles and couples. The inclusion of 476 sqm of retail, a creche, and biodiversity zones signals a developer who has read the planning guidelines carefully.
| Feature | Detail |
|---|---|
| Application number | 2661462 |
| Site area | 7.28 hectares |
| Total units | 228 (71 houses, 157 apartments) |
| House mix | 65 x 3-bed, 6 x 4-bed |
| Apartment mix | 122 x 2-bed, 35 x 1-bed |
| Ancillary uses | 476 sqm retail (4 units), creche 160 sqm |
| Permission sought | 10-year LRD |
| Decision due | September 29, 2026 |
The question for September 29: does ABP grant permission, request further information, or refuse? A refusal or further information request would push the scheme into 2027 and signal that the LRD mechanism is not delivering the speed its architects intended.
Key People This Period
| Name | Role | Notable Activity | Connections |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Farrell | Incoming NED, Cairn Homes PLC | Appointed Oct 1 2026; former BPFI CEO, former IIP CEO | Irish Institutional Property CLG, Sherry FitzGerald Group, Fexco Group |
| Michael Stanley | CEO, Cairn Homes PLC | H1 2026: €450M revenue, 1,130 units; director of 5 active Cairn subsidiaries | Cairn Homes Property Holdco, Cairn Homes Properties, Galway, Killiney, Butterly |
| Bernard Byrne | Chairman, Cairn Homes PLC | Cited Farrell appointment as part of board refreshment; 'scaling' and 'leading Irish homebuilder' positioning | Cairn Homes PLC |
| Gene Murtagh | CEO, Kingspan Group | Kingspan shares up 5.5% on two acquisitions week of Aug 10-15 | Kingspan Group PLC (building materials, construction sector) |
| Eamonn Rothwell | CEO, Irish Continental Group | ISS backed €1.2bn ICG take-private bid; management-led buyout under scrutiny from institutional shareholders | Irish Continental Group PLC, Marathon Asset Management, Janus Henderson |
One to Watch: Bonfil Homes Limited
Bonfil Homes Limited
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Status | Liquidation (since 12 June 2025) |
| Authorised share capital | €200 |
| Issued share capital | €200 |
| Last accounts date | 31 March 2024 |
| Years in operation | 42 years (1983–2025) |
| Last annual return | 2 December 2024 |
Bonfil Homes Limited was a Carlow-based residential developer registered in January 1983 — one of the older homebuilders in the CRO register. With just €200 in share capital, it was a classic small Irish builder: lean balance sheet, local market focus, and four decades of delivering homes in the south-east.
Its entry into liquidation in June 2025 is a story that doesn't make headlines but matters enormously for the housing supply debate. While the policy conversation focuses on Cairn Homes and Glenveagh, the actual delivery of homes in regional Ireland depends on hundreds of small builders like Bonfil. Rising construction costs, planning delays, and tighter mortgage approval criteria have squeezed margins to the point where a 42-year-old business can no longer survive. The €200 share capital tells you everything: this was never a company with deep pockets. It was a company that built homes because it knew how to, and stopped when the economics no longer worked.
The number that matters: €200 — the entire share capital of a company that built homes for 42 years. When a business with this longevity and this lean a capital structure enters liquidation, it is not a story about one company. It is a story about the structural economics of small-scale homebuilding in Ireland, and why the supply gap will not be closed by listed builders alone.
The Broader Picture: Courts, Companies & What Comes Next
The Companies Registration Office
The CRO register for the period reflects the structural dynamics of the property market. No new homebuilder registrations were found in the August 10-16 window specifically — a reminder that company formation activity in the construction sector tends to cluster around planning permissions and site acquisitions rather than calendar periods. The more telling signal is in the existing register: Carray Homes Unlimited Company (CRO 734299, registered February 2023, Waterford) is an active development company with €101,000 authorised capital — a newer entrant to the regional homebuilding market. Brinkley Developments and Homes Unlimited Company (CRO 603936, Kilkenny) is another active builder registered in 2017 with €100,000 authorised capital. These are the mid-tier builders that sit between the listed PLCs and the micro-builders like Bonfil — and they are the cohort most exposed to the current cost environment.
| Company | CRO No. | Type | Status | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cairn Homes Property Holdco Ltd | 544203 | LTD | Normal | H1 2026: €450M revenue, 1,130 units |
| Cairn Homes Properties Ltd | 552325 | LTD | Normal | Core operating subsidiary, Michael Stanley director |
| Irish Institutional Property CLG | 635622 | CLG | Normal | Pat Farrell director — connects Cairn to institutional investors |
| Carray Homes ULC | 734299 | ULC | Normal | Active Waterford homebuilder, €101k capital |
| Bonfil Homes Limited | 92928 | LTD | Liquidation | 42-year-old Carlow builder, €200 capital — stress signal |
The Irish Courts
No new judgments were indexed for the August 10-16 period. The most business-relevant recent cases in the planning and property space are historical but directly relevant to the pipeline applications reviewed in this edition. The High Court's record on An Bord Pleanála decisions is a critical context for every large planning application in Ireland — and the Donegal Town LRD is no exception.
| Citation | Parties | Subject | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| [2023] IEHC 14 | Jennings v An Bord Pleanála | Student accommodation planning quashed | Density and open character grounds — risk for LRD applications |
| [2022] IEHC 7 | Ballyboden Tidy Towns v An Bord Pleanála | Residential permission quashed | Transport and density grounds — relevant to Drogheda and Donegal applications |
| [2024] IEHC 624 | Aer Lingus v Irish Aviation Authority | Dublin Airport 32mppa planning condition | Planning constraints on Dublin catchment development — affects north Dublin residential pipeline |
| [2023] IEHC 157 | Shadowmill v An Bord Pleanála | Protected structure development | Omission of part of scheme from permission — directly relevant to Thurles protected structure application |
Property Markets & Plans
The commercial property market this period is defined by a single paradox: Workday subletting one-fifth of its new 38,648 sqm Dublin headquarters before occupancy, while the residential pipeline struggles to deliver 650 units across the entire country. The €1.25M transaction at 23-27 College Green, Dublin 2 — a prime city-centre commercial address — confirms that investor appetite for D02 commercial stock remains strong even as occupier demand recalibrates. The planning register's 1,308 applications, of which only 650 units are residential, reflects the continued dominance of agricultural, commercial, and infrastructure applications in the national pipeline.
| Transaction / Application | Type | Value / Units | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23-27 College Green, Dublin 2 | Commercial sale | €1.25M | D02 investor demand |
| College Square, Dublin (Workday/Marlet) | Office sublet | 7,730 sqm | Occupier recalibration |
| Glebe & Raforker, Donegal Town (LRD) | Residential planning | 228 units | Regional supply push |
| Greenbatter & Linenfield, Drogheda | Residential planning | 178 units | Commuter belt expansion |
| Former Lake County Nightclub, Mullingar | Mixed-use planning | 27 apts + retail | Brownfield regeneration |
The Week Ahead
The Irish property market enters the final weeks of August with three stories running in parallel. First, the transaction register — reflecting deals agreed in June-July — shows a Dublin market that has repriced sharply upward, with the 22% average price surge driven by a combination of genuine demand, constrained supply, and a compositional shift toward higher-value second-hand stock. Second, the planning pipeline shows ambition in the regions — 228 units in Donegal Town, 178 in Drogheda, 42 in Thurles — but the judicial risk inherent in every large ABP application means that pipeline ambition and delivered supply are not the same thing. Third, the corporate story of the period — Cairn Homes' institutional pivot, Workday's office recalibration, Bonfil's liquidation — tells a story about the structural economics of Irish property that the transaction register alone cannot capture.
What to Watch: The ABP decision on the Donegal Town LRD (due September 29) will be a bellwether for the LRD mechanism's effectiveness in regional Ireland. The Louth County Council decisions on the Drogheda applications (due early September) will signal whether the commuter belt north of Dublin is absorbing new supply at scale. And Cairn Homes' H2 2026 trading update — expected in October — will reveal whether the institutional forward-purchase pipeline that Pat Farrell's appointment signals has materialised into signed contracts.